If Assam gets a hung assembly, there is a possibility of BJP and the AIUDF, they are going to form an allied group.
“That may be like going back on everything the two parties have said during the election campaign, but that is politics,” said a senior leader of the All India United Democratic Front.
Bharatiya Janata Party had approached Ajmal chief said by a leader. Himanta Biswa Sarma, BJP leader with Ajmal had a rounds of discussion and it seems there is a chance of forming an allied group and there is a probability of forming an allied group if Congress doesn’t win.
Ajmal said that it all depends on how many seats will go to whom and that will be major influencing factor whom they going to support.
He ignored the question whether he will support BJP or not.
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Ajmal had said that before the two-phase assembly elections began in Assam, there is no way that they are supporting Bhartiya Janta Party and the Congress can be backed up if Tarun Gogoi is not there in the party as the Chief Minister.
“Gogoi is a failure,” said Ajmal, reviving the personal feud that erupted in 2006 when Gogoi said “Ajmal kaun hai?” (Who is Ajmal?)
Even if BJP doesn’t get any clear majority, BJP is confident that the alliance it will lead will come out as the largest block in 126 member assembly.
BJP top leader said that BJP’s main choice is to win the independents , the ones that will win, but still support is needed, the only option is AIUDF.
The main aim for BJP for the elections is to detect and deport Bangladesh’s illegal migrants while “the AIUDF is seen as a party of those very illegal migrants”.
Because AIUDF see a competition for the minority support base between them and Congress so there are chances of not forming any alliance with the Congress.
Since the days of Tarun Gogoi, with Himanta Biswa Sarma, Ajmal is known for his close relations with him.
Himanta Biswa Sarma can use his relations with Ajmal and Hangrama Mohilary,
Bodo leader in order to outcast the Sarbananda Sonowal, BJP’s declared chief minister candidate .
Sarbananda Sonowal is very much popular among the ethnic Assamese and tribals for his legal challenge that led to the removal of the IMDT act of 1983, which was seen as protective of illegal migrants.
Amarjyoti Bora, Political analyst in case if the BJP-led alliance falls short of the majority, then Himanta Biswa Sarma can use his relations with AGP and Bodoland Peoples Front ,if the BJP has to bend on the AIUDF to take power.
On April 11, Sarma and Ajmal reportedly started their conversations immediately after the Assam polls ended.
“If they don’t win a majority, the BJP is looking at a Kashmir-type situation. The only difference is that in Assam the BJP will be the senior partner and the AIUDF the junior partner,” said analyst Bora.
Hafiz Rashid Chowdhury, founder of AIUDF whose now with the Samata Party, says if Ajmal goes with the BJP, he will “betray the basic spirit of minority politics in Assam”.
However, Many people in AIUDF do not agree with this. Abu Sufian, AIUDF activist says that Assam will have a lot of funds of development if the party which in the Centre and have an alliance.