In Assam, The BJP had launched its “Mission 84″ which will go to polls in a few months, soon after the 2014 Lok Sabha election. Union minister Sarbananda Sonowal had been chosen by BJP to lead its mission in the north-eastern state where it done well in the last Lok Sabha elections.
On the other hand, Three-time Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi, will be hoping to prevent the BJP from making inroads in the state which is known to be a Congress bastion.
Between the Congress and AIUDF an alliance is also not clear. From the Congress, the departure of Himanta Biswa Sarma and his joining the BJP last August has also been perceived to be blow by the Gogoi regime.
Assam’s election is just not about about whether BJP or Congress can do or not. Like in some states in central and western India, state doesn’t have a typical bipolar political scenario and issues like ethnicity, land, infiltration, language and terror activities make Assam a complex case to handle.
The fact that 38 of 74 urban local bodies are under its control had encouraged BJP by the big leap in its membership. It has won a seat in the Bodoland Territorial Council elections.
BJP helped form the Tiwa Autonomous Council in October and rested the Dima Hasao Autonomous Council by causing defections in the Congress and getting many former militants-turned-Council members on its side.
For the upcoming elections, BJP has also formed an alliance with the Bodoland People’s Front for the upcoming elections. In each of the state’s 126 Assembly constituencies the party is also taking stock of its condition. At least one central minister visits the state every week ensured by Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
For the state’s complicated political equation, can the BJP get into the details?BJP is expert in handling the politics of the Hindi heartland but can it do so in case of a northeastern state like Assam? BJP could win just five out of 126 seats in 2011. In the 2014 general election, even though it put up a good show but the reason could be attributed more to the nationwide wave in favour of Modi.
Issues like personality Clashes between two local heavyweights-Sonowal and Sarma-could pose more headache for Modi as a state election is a different ball-game.